Jeff’s Proposition Bets 2024
Yet another year of football is upon us, and we are super excited here at Footballinsideredge.com. Thank you for being such a loyal member of both this site and Fantasygolfinsider.com, we truly appreciate you. We are so glad to be able to offer you a high-quality product that helps you be successful playing fantasy football and saves you time with your research. This is now the 6th edition of this article and it is probably the most popular one I write all year and also probably the most successful and profitable. I have listed my results below for the first five editions of this article. Last year was yet another winning year (the fifth in a row) although it was not as dominant of a year as in the past. I have been researching these bets for the better part of three months now and feel really good about them this year.
I will be adding bets as we continue toward the start of the season, but I wanted to get them in your hands as I place them because the lines are continuously moving fast. I have already had to change a few because the lines moved since I wrote a couple prop bets up. Be sure to shop around different sportsbooks for the best options and price. It might take a little time, but a few yards either way can make a huge difference with a prop bet. I hope this season is as successful as prior years. Best of luck this year my friends!
2023 Player Props: 8-5
Aaron Rodgers under 4,000.5 passing yards WIN!!!
Bryce Young under 22.5 passing TD WIN!!!
Davante Adams under 1,250.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
George Pickens over 4.5 receiving TDs WIN!!!
Derrick Henry under 1,200.5 rushing yards WIN!!!
James Cook over 825.5 rushing + receiving yards WIN!!!
Cooper Kupp under 107.5 receptions WIN!!!
Marquis Brown under 4.5 receiving TDs WIN!!!
Quentin Johnson over 575.5 receiving yards LOSS
Jahan Dotson over 725.5 receiving yards LOSS
Mike Evans under 925.5 receiving yards LOSS
Travis Etienne under 6,5 TDs LOSS
Trevor Lawrence over 4,050.5 passing yards LOSS
Team Totals 1-2
Jets under 9.5 wins WIN!!!
Raiders under 6.5 wins LOSS
Jags over 9.5 wins LOSS
2022 Player Props: 7-2
Allen Lazard over 5.5 TDs WIN!!!
Diontae Johnson under 1,000.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
Michael Thomas under 825.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
David Montgomery under 850.5 rushing yards WIN!!!
Dalvin Cook under 1,175.5 rushing yards WIN!!!
Leonard Fournette under 8.5 rushing touchdowns WIN!!!
Javonte Williams over 945.5 rushing yards WIN!!!
Kyle Pitts over 68.5 receptions LOSS
Stefon Diggs under 1,200.5 receiving yards LOSS
Team Totals: 3-1
Philadelphia Eagles over 9.5 WIN!!!
Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC East +155 WIN!!!
Bucs under 11.5 wins WIN!!!
Chiefs under 10.5 wins LOSS
Longshots:
Justin Jefferson Offensive Player of the Year 16-1 WIN!!!
2021 Player Props: 9-2
Amari Cooper under 1,200.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
Stefon Diggs under 1,350.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
Jared Goff under 4,100.5 passing yards WIN!!!
Joe Burrow over 26 passing touchdowns WIN!!!
Ben Roethlisberger under 4,050.5 passing yards WIN!!!
Antonio Gibson over 1,025.5 yards WIN!!!
Sam Darnold under 23 passing touchdowns WIN!!!
Brandon Aiyuk over 825.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
Kenny Golladay under 1,025.5 receiving yards WIN!!!
Zack Moss over 5.5 Touchdowns LOSS
Leonard Fournette under 650.5 rushing yards LOSS
Team Totals: 1-1-1
Vikings under 9.5 wins WIN!!!
Chargers over 9 wins PUSH
Browns over 10.5 wins LOSS
2020 Player Props: 7-2
Devante Parker under 1,090.5 rec yds WIN!!!
Cam Newton under 3,650 pass yds WIN!!!
Julio Jones under 1,349.5 rec yds WIN!!!
Ezekiel Eliiott under 1,275.5 rush yds WIN!!!
Baker Mayfield over 24.5 pass tds WIN!!!
Allen Robinson under 1,099.5 rec yards LOSS
Mike Gesicki over 4.5 tds WIN!!!
Adam Thielen under 1,150.5 rec yards WIN!!!
Kenny Golladay over 7.5 rec tds LOSS
Team Totals: 3-0
Cleveland Browns over 8 wins -160 WIN!!!
Oakland Raiders over 6.5 wins -176 WIN!!!
Houston Texans under 8.5 wins -163 WIN!!!
2019 Player Props: 8-2
Drew Brees under 4,199.5 pass yds WIN!!!
Antonio Brown under 9.5 touchdowns WIN!!!
Keenan Allen under 1,230.5 rec yards WIN!!!
Adam Theilen under 1,075.5 rec yards WIN!!!
Jameis Winston over 26.5 passing touchdowns WIN!!!
Saquon Barkley under 1,350.5 rush yds WIN!!!
John Brown over 625.5 rec yards WIN!!!
Jimmy Garoppolo under 3,999 pass yds WIN!!!
Alvin Kamara over 949.5 rush yds Loss
Michael Thomas under 1,275.5 rec yds Loss
Team Totals: 3-0
Falcons under 9.5 wins -173 Win!!!
New York Jets over 6.5 wins -212 Win!!!
Minnesota Vikings over 8 wins -189 Win!!!
You will notice that the majority of my bets every year lean toward the under. The reason for that is the sportsbooks tend to put those lines on the high end because people like to bet on and cheer for success.
People want to bet on the over in game totals, because they want to bet on scoring. It is just more fun! Just like with game totals, season long props are pushed up for that very reason. Fans want to cheer for their guy throughout the year, because it is fun and thus they bet on the over for their props. This is why so many of the lines get pushed up.
In addition to the masses pushing game totals up, in football we also have the high probability of injury. Nothing can put a damper on hitting season long over prop bets like a player missing a couple weeks of the season (or more). It does not even necessarily the individual player that could be injured. How about teammates. If a starting quarterback goes down with an injury, do you think his receivers stats might be impacted if they were now catching balls from the back-up? You bet. Pass catchers are extremely reliant upon their quarterback. Even a runningback could be negatively impacted if their starting quarterback (or even key offensive lineman) goes down. For these reasons most every year the majority of my season long bets side on the under.
If you are in a state where all sports books are legal, congratulations. I unfortunately do not have that privilege, so I only have a few choices of sportsbooks that I can place wagers on. All states are different and for that reason, I have included props from a bunch of different books. Shop around, do not be content with just taking the first offer you see. I bounce between Drafkings sportsbook to Fanduel to Bovada to BET365 to BETUS and see some dramatic differences. There are good numbers to be had and likely even better than I list below, if you look hard.
The lines are moving constantly and for that reason I am going to continue to post my bets as I make them rather than waiting closer toward opening week, to avoid missing out on numbers that we like.
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