Monday Night Showdown Slate- Colts @ Ravens

Lines:

Colts @ Ravens (-7)

o/u = 46

 

2020 DVOA

Ravens against the run #12
Ravens against the pass #10
Colts against the run #9
Colts against the pass #8

 

Favorites:

Lamar Jackson, $12,600

• Lamar for a showdown slate is a must, like always.
• 20+ DK points in every game this season.
• Colts have allowed the 7^th most DK points to QBs.
• Need him in the Captain spot on most teams as well.

Marquise Brown, 11,000

• Think of his stats if he hadn’t dropped at least three TDs this year.
• The most explosive/high upside guy on the field for this game outside of Lamar.
• 19+ DK Pts in three of four games and is getting the majority of the targets (28).
• Need to stack with Lamar.

Michael Pittman, 9,000

• The Colts only real weapon in the passing game, has a whopping 36 targets already this season.
• 23 catches for 279 yards, but hasn’t gotten into the endzone.
• Should be playing from behind in this game and continue to get high volume.
• A correlated play with Latavius Murray makes sense.

Value:

Latavius Murray, $7,400

• Apparently going to be the lead guy as Ty’son Williams was inactive last week. I guess they are going to roll with the corpses of Devonta Freeman and Le’Veon Bell, which bodes really well for Murray.
• He is the goaline guy and has scored three TDs already.
• The first game he has been the bellcow was against the tough Denver D and he still managed 59 yards and a TD.
• Home favorite, positive game script.

Nyheim Hines, $5,600

• The pass catching back of a touchdown underdog on the road makes a ton of sense.
• Hines has 14 catches this year on 18 targets.
• Be sure to build around game scripts for showdown slates. A Raven 5-1 or 4-2 stack with Hines.

Sleepers:

Sammy Watkins, $5,800

• It feels like we know what we are going to get from Watkins, because he has done the same thing in the first four games. Targets= 8,7,7,7.  Catches= 4,4,4,4. DK PTs= 13, 8, 10, 10
• I really like the match-up vs Xavier Rhodes however, who has been brutal this year.
• If Watkins can somehow get into the endzone to add to his 10-13 DK points, we will be in business.

Mo Alie-Cox, $5,000

• Not sure he is going to get into the endzone as frequently as he did last week, but what I like is he played the vast majority of the snaps (Doyle down to just 21 of the 71 plays).
• Ravens have allowed the 2^nd most DK points to opposing TEs.
• Colts will be playing from behind, so Pittman, Hines, and Cox are good candidates to own.

Possible lineups:

 

C-Jackson/Andrews/Watkins/Murray/Cox/Hines

C- Watkins/Jackson/Andrews/Pittman/Murray/Hines

C-Brown/Jackson/Watkins/Duvernay/Ravens/Hines