Monday Night Showdown Slate- Patriots @ Bills

Lines:

Patriots @ Bills (-3)

O/U = 41

 

DVOA

Bills against the run #4
Bills against the pass #1
Patriots against the run #10
Patriots against the pass #2

 

Notes, Zack Moss was inactive last week, but it is unclear of his status this week.  The Bills are liking Matt Breida the last few games, so if Moss is inactive, then Breida becomes a good option.  We will have to wait and see.

 

Favorites:

Josh Allen, $11,200

• MVP candidate has easily the highest ceiling of anybody in this game. 20+ DK points in seven games this season.
• One monster game (320/4) and one dud (154/0) last year against the Pats.
• I will likely be underweight the field with Allen as Captain, because this could be a low scoring game.

Stefon Diggs, $10,600

• 11 targets a game this season and has found the endzone four times the last three weeks.
• Lit the Pats on fire last season with 15/237/3
• Will have JC Jackson shadowing him most of the time, but I don’t really care. Should still see double digit targets, including in the redzone.

 

Value:

Jakobi Meyers, $7,200

• 10/103 last season against the Bills, was the Pats best receiver.
• Also the best Pats receiver this year and sees a lot of targets (over 7 per game).
• Will see coverage from slot corner Taron Johnson, which is not a fantastic match-up, but the Pats will likely have to put the ball in the air as a road dog.
• A bit cheaper than Bourne.

Hunter Henry, $5,200

• Could be considered a sleeper based upon his most recent production, but Bills are stingy in their secondary so the Pats will need to find other options.
• Henry has 7 TDs this season, and that is gold on a Showdown Slate.

 

Sleepers:

Dawson Knox, $5,400

• Awfully cheap for the scoring threat Knox is (7 TDs in 9 games).
• Outside of Diggs, Knox is Allen’s favorite redzone target.

Bills Defense, $3,800

• Six games this season with double digit DK points.
• Home favorite with good game script.
• Tough environment for young Mac Jones and if he is forced to pass, it could create turnovers.

 

Deep Sleepers:

Zack Moss, $600

• Unclear on whether he will be active or not (was not active last week). If he is however, I will take a flyer on him on some rosters.
• Had 26 carries for 138 yards and 3 TDs last season against the Pats.
• If he finds the endzone just one time he will pay off his price. Just make sure he is active.

 

Possible lineups:

C- Allen, Diggs, Beasley, Knox, Henry, Bills

C- Allen, Diggs, Meyers, Knox, Henry, Singletary

C- Allen, Diggs, Jones, Henry, Moss (if active), Sanders

C- Diggs, Allen, Meyers, Knox, J Smith, Breida