Monday Night Showdown Slate- Raiders @ Chargers
Lines:
Raiders @ Chargers (-3)
o/u = 51.5
2020 DVOA
Raiders against the run #28
Raiders against the pass #26
Chargers against the run #26
Chargers against the pass #17
Josh Jacobs is listed as questionable and going to be a game-time decision. If he is ruled out, then we need to fire up Petyon Barber who had 111 yards rushing and a TD last week on 23 carries. If however Jacobs is active, then Barber does not make sense, especially at his salary.
Favorites:
Justin Herbert, 11,200
- Two 300+ games and six TDs.
- Last year against the Raiders he threw for 640 yards and four TDs with a rushing score as well.
Darren Waller, $9,200
- Ties for 2nd in targets in the NFL (33) and 3rd in redzone targets (7).
- Ripped the Chargers for 14 catches for 172 yards and 2 TDs last week.
Keenan Allen, $8,800
- Tied for 2nd in the NFL in targets (33) and 1st in redzone targets (9)
- 22, 17.8, and 19 DK points.
- Positive touchdown regression coming.
- Casey Hayward will likely be on Mike Williams most of the time as he never travels to the slot.
Value:
Henry Ruggs, $9,600
- Chris Harris will man the slot for the Chargers, so he will see coverage from Asante Samuel and Michael Davis on the perimeter.
- Always a big play threat, but also seen volume with 19 targets through 3 weeks.
Josh Jacobs, $7,600
- If he is active, he has a nice match-up against the Chargers who rank #26 DVOA and have allowed the 4th most DK points to RBs.
- Scored a TD in each of the two games vs the Chargers last year.
Bryan Edwards, $7,500
- Plays the opposite side from Ruggs, and has 10 catches for 210 yards on 13 targets.
- Likely will get more volume than Ruggs, but does not possess the big play ability.
Sleepers:
Jalen Guyton, $3,600
- Chargers #3 receiver has 8 targets this season. (5 catches for 62 yards.
- Not going to be heavily targeted, but capable of a big play.
Chargers Defense, $3,200
- 10 DK points vs the Chiefs last week.
- I realize Derek Carr has been really good so far, but part of me still doesn’t trust him.
- Super cheap price and a good option for an onslaught Chargers stack.
Possible lineups:
C- Allen, Herbert, Guyton Jacobs, Waller, Ruggs
C- Allen, Herbert, Cook, Waller, Ruggs, Edwards
C- Herbert, Allen, Ekeler, Guyton, Ruggs, Edwards