Sunday Night Showdown Slate- Browns @ Ravens
Lines:
Browns @ Ravens (-3.5)
O/U = 47
DVOA
Ravens against the run #6
Ravens against the pass #27
Browns against the run #17
Browns against the pass #24
Notes:
Kareem Hunt is coming off the IR and expected to play in this game. This will make him a legit value and pretty much deflate D’Ernest Johnson.
Favorites:
Lamar Jackson, $12,400
- A showdown slate with Lamar Jackson playing = You need to play a massive amount of Lamar Jackson.
- Arguably the highest ceiling QB in the NFL has posted 7 of 9 games with 20+ DK points and 3 30+ games.
- Last year he posted 27 and 34 DK points in his two games against the Browns.
- Going to need 50-60% in the Captain spot.
Marquise Brown, $10,800
- Expected back this week, is the Ravens top WR and has six games with 19 DK points or more.
- In two games against the Browns last year he put up 7/151/1.
Mark Andrews, $8,200
- Two straight big games (14/136/1 on 18 targets).
- Was big against the Brown last year in two games with 10/136/2.
Value:
Kareem Hunt, $7,000
- If he is healthy enough to be active, I assume he will slide right back into his normal role.
- Before his visit to the IR he averaged 12 carries and 3-4 targets per game.
- If the Browns find themselves behind, the game script will fit into Hunts favor.
- A Lamar/Freeman/Hunt pairing would make sense.
Devonta Freeman, $6,800
- Even with Murray back last week, the Ravens elected to use Freeman the majority of the time (16 carries and 6 targets) and he produced 20 DK points.
- Freeman is effective in both the running and passing game.
- I think it is reasonable to stack with Lamar for both a connection through the air and game script reason.
Sleepers:
Austin Hooper, $5,200
- His two best games of the season the last two weeks (8/78/1 on 12 targets).
- The Ravens have been more vulnerable to the tight end position than the WR position this season.
- The Browns are likely to be playing from behind, thus a negative game script.
Donovan Peoples-Jones, $5,000
- The #2, if not the #1 receiving option on the Browns offense with OBJ gone.
- Has been very strong in three of his last four games with 12, 29.1, and 16.6 DK points.
- Plays almost exclusively on the perimeter where the Ravens are more vulnerable with Humphrey and Averett.
- Good game script to target the Browns passing game.
Deep Sleepers:
Justin Tucker, $4,200
- I think I said this in my showdown article for the last time the Ravens played, Tucker is one of the few kickers I will ever own.
- There is the decent likelihood that he kicks a couple 50 yarders.
- He has 6 out of 10 games where he has posted 10+ DK points.
- In a Ravens heavy stack, we will save some cap space with Tucker.
Possible lineups:
C- Jackson, Freeman, Andrews, Tucker, Hunt, Peoples-Jones
C- Andrews, Jackson, Ravens, Tucker, Chubb, Hooper
C- Jackson, Brown, Andrews, Duvernay