Sunday Night Showdown Slate- Bucs @ Patriots

Jeff Bergerson
By Jeff Bergerson October 2, 2021 15:44

Sunday Night Showdown Slate- Bucs @ Patriots

Lines:

Bucs (-7) @ Patriots

o/u = 49

 

2020 DVOA

Bucs against the run #7
Bucs against the pass #17
Patriots against the run #4
Patriots against the pass #28

A couple injuries that could have an impact on this Showdown Slate:

  1. Rob Gronkowski is DOUBTFUL. This opens up playing time and likely targets for Cameron Brate and OJ Howard.
  2. Gio Bernard has already been ruled OUT. This means Leonard Fournette gets all 3rd down duty and probably a couple more targets.
  3. James White was put on IR. It is unclear as to who will step into the main pass catching duties for White between Bolden, Taylor, and Stevenson.

 

Favorites:

Tom Brady, $12,800

  • There might be some motivation for Brady to play well in this game.
  • He has been nothing short of spectacular thus far this season posting 30+ DK points in each game.
  • 10 TDs and 1,087 yards already is pretty sick.
  • Patriots defense is nowhere near where it was and their corners are struggling.

 

Chris Godwin, $11,200

  • Leads Bucs in targets (28) and redzone targets (6) of which he has caught five and scored twice.
  • Patriots weakest corner is slot corner Jonathan Jones and Godwin runs 70% of his routes out of the slot.

Jakobi Meyers, $8,400

  • The Pats are going to have a hell of a time running the ball, so if they are going to move the ball at all it will have to be through the air.
  • Meyers leads Pats in targets (29)
  • He will see the Bucs worst corner Russ Cockrell in the slot.

Value:

Antonio Brown, $7,000

  • Missed week 3, but has come off the covid list.
  • 10 targets in the first two weeks and went over 100 yards with a TD in week 1.
  • Not as good of a match-up as Godwin at corner, but a plus match-up nonetheless vs JC Jackson.

 

Sleepers:

Cameron Brate, $4,200

  • Howard is the more athletic tight end, but Brate seems to consistently be in front of him.
  • When Gronk left the game last week Brate was the one to rack up volume (4 catches on 5 targets for 35 yards).

Branden Bolden, $600

  • Who ever knows what Belichick is going to do with runningbacks, but Bolden was the guy who took the majority of action when White went down last week.
  • All I know is Belichick likes experience and Bolden has that over the other two guys.
  • Good pass catching back and had a few last week (3 for 23 on 4 targets).

Possible lineups:

C- Godwin, Brady, Brown, Brate, Bolden, Meyers

C- Brown, Brady, Godwin, Meyers, Bolden, J Smith

C-Brady, Godwin, Fournette, Howard, Bucs, J Smith

Jeff Bergerson
By Jeff Bergerson October 2, 2021 15:44

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