Sunday Night Showdown Slate- Chargers @ Raiders

Jeff Bergerson
By Jeff Bergerson January 8, 2022 21:53

Sunday Night Showdown Slate- Chargers @ Raiders

Lines:

Chargers (-3) @ Raiders

O/U = 49

 

DVOA

Chargers against the run #26
Chargers against the pass #17
Raiders against the run #28
Raiders against the pass #26

 

Favorites:

Austin Ekeler, $11,600

  • High ceiling, able to do it on the ground and in the passing game. Has found the endzone at least once in each of his last seven games.
  • The Raiders rank 28th vs the run DVOA and allow the 4th most DK points to RBs.
  • Ekeler ripped the Raiders for 117/1 on the ground and 3/28/1 through the air in week 4.

Justin Herbert, $11,400

  • Normally hard to stack a QB and RB on the same roster when they are the two highest priced guys on the slate, but with Ekeler’s ability to catch the ball, I think we can do it here.
  • At least 2 TD passes in six of his last seven games.
  • Raiders are not much better against the pass ranking 26th
  • Herbert went for 222/3 against them in week 4.

Mike Williams, $7,200

  • I like Keenan Allen a bit more straight up, but the salary difference is tremendous ($10,400 vs $7,200).  I have not problem with you owning Allen, I am just having a hard time fitting him into rosters and Nate Hobbs has been solid at slot corner.
  • Williams has more TDs than Allen on the year (8 vs. 6)
  • I like to pair him with Herbert and will even slide him into the Captain spot on some rosters.
  • He will see some coverage from Casey Hayward Jr, which is not great, but he also might see some coverage from Brandon Facyson, which would be great.

 

Value:

Hunter Renfrow, $8,400

  • So much volume for Renfrow lately with 8.3 targets per game over his last six games.
  • 6/45/1 in his first meeting against the Chargers in week 4.
  • My only concern is if Waller is active, it might cut into Renfrow’s volume, but I am going to build most of my rosters with a game script of the Chargers getting ahead.

Josh Jacobs, $7,800

  • The Chargers weakness on defense has definitely been against the run (26th DVOA).
  • Jacobs is the main goaline back for the Raiders, and we know how important TDs are in Showdown Slates.
  • As of right now, he is listed as questionable. More information should come out late Sunday afternoon.  If he plays, I will own him.  If he is ruled inactive, I will then pivot to Peyton Barber (Sleepers)

Zay Jones, $6,400

  • An uptick in volume lately 17 targets the last three games.
  • Jones has produced: 8/120, 6/50, 6/67
  • If we are building rosters according to a negative game script for the Raiders, I like Jones as an option and he is a bit cheaper than Renfrow.

 

Sleepers:

Jared Cook, $5,600

  • With Parham on IR, Cook sees more volume (17 targets the last three weeks).
  • He hasn’t put up a monster game (8.8, 6.2, 9.4) in those last three games, but if he can find the endzone and give us 12-14 points, we would be ok.
  • Had his best game of the season against the Raiders in week 4 (6/70/1, 19 DK points).

Joshua Palmer $4,200 and/or Jalen Guyton $4,800

  • Splitting time as the Chargers #3 receiver, which is not ideal, but both are capable of a long TD.
  • Palmer has seen more volume his last couple of games (11 Targets), but Guyton sees a deep ball about once a game and if that connects, it would be huge.
  • Both are low floor/decent ceiling options to stack with Herbert and save cap space.

Peyton Barber, $1,000

  • If Jacobs is active and healthy, then I am not so high on Barber, although for $1,000, he might not be a bad option.
  • He has seen 5 or 6 carries and 1 or 2 targets in each of the past three games.
  • If Jacobs is out this looks to be a tremendous bargain.

 

Possible lineups:

C- Williams, Herbert, Ekeler, Guyton, Z Jones, Carlson

C- Herbert, Cook, Palmer, Williams, Renfrow, Z Jones

C- Ekeler, Herbert, Cook, Palmer, Carr, Barber

C- Ekeler, Cook, Guyton, Williams, Renfrow, Z Jones

Jeff Bergerson
By Jeff Bergerson January 8, 2022 21:53

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