Sunday Night Showdown Slate- Seahawks @ Steelers

Lines:

Seahawks @ Steelers (-5)

o/u = 43

 

DVOA

Steelers against the run #7
Steelers against the pass #17
Seahawks against the run #17
Seahawks against the pass #28

 

Favorites:

Najee Harris, 11,800

• Super expensive, but the Seahawks have allowed the most DK points to the RB position in the NFL.
• Harris can do it on the ground or through the air, which means he is not game flow dependent.
• 2, 21.1, and 31.2 DK points the last three weeks, he has emerged as the Steelers main weapon.
• Fits with Seahawks overloads, where he could be see a ton of passing game volume as the Steelers play catch-up -or- if the Steelers lead he could get a ton of carries. He can be teamed with the Steelers Def.

DK Metcalf $10,000

• Will suffer from Wilson not feeding him, but he remains the biggest and best weapon for Seattle.
• A big bodied redzone monster, has gotten into the endzone 5 times already this season.
• Steelers rank #24 vs the pass DVOA and have allowed the 9^th most DK points to WRs.

Diontae Johnson, $9,800

• An unusual 2 targets for Diontae last game as he had 13, 12, and 10 his previous three games, but he did catch one for a TD and ended with 2/72.
• He is easily Roethlisberger’s #1 target and with JuJu out, his volume should remain massive.
• Seahawks defense and specifically their pass defense is a mess, ranking 28^th DVOA and allowing the 5^th most DK points to WRs.

 

Value:

Alex Collins, $6,800

• Will be the bellcow back again with Carson out. Has 25 carries and 5 targets the last two weeks.
• Seahawks are going to rely on Collins a lot to take the pressure off Smith.
• I expect him to be utilized more in the passing game for this one as Smith will be doing some dinking and dunking.

James Washington, $5,200

• The beneficiary of JuJu Smith Schuster’s injury, Washington has stepped into that #3 WR role and seen 5 targets in each of the last two weeks.
• Last week went 4 catches for 69 yards.
• I already talked about how bad the Seattle secondary is.

 

Sleepers:

Steelers Defense, 5,600

• With Russell Wilson out, Geno Smith will get the start on the road.
• Steelers can stop the run 6^th DVOA, so Smith will have to put the ball in the air, creating opportunity. A Najee Harris/Steeler defense correlation play makes sense.

Gerald Everett, $4,600

• Out the last 2 weeks Everett returns and might be under the radar a little.
• Geno Smith will be looking to a lot of underneath routes in this one, which should mean increased volume for Everett.
• Everett saw 5 targets in week 3 where he caught all 5 for 54 yards.

Pat Freiermuth, $2,800

• We need one or two low dollar guys with the pricing structure for this slate.
• Only 13 targets this year, but Ben likes to find his tight end.
• No name

 

C- Harris/Steelers/D Johnson/Washington/Collis/Everett

C-Collins/Metcalf/D Johnson/Everett/Freiermuth/Harris

C- Everett/Collins/Freiermuth/Harris/D Johnson/Metcalf