Thursday Night Showdown Slate- Ravens @ Dolphins
Lines:
Ravens (-7.5) @ Dolphins
O/U = 46.5
DVOA
Ravens against the run #12
Ravens against the pass #23
Dolphins against the run #18
Dolphins against the pass #22
Favorites:
Lamar Jackson, $13,800
- A must in every showdown slate, Jackson has the highest ceiling of anybody in this game by far.
- 20+ DK points in all but one game this season.
- Most his value comes with his legs, but the Dolphins secondary has been poor this year, so he likely will throw at least 1-2 TDs to go with running in one.
Marquise Brown, $11,000
- Took a while to get involved last week against MN, but when he did he exploded for 9/116.
- 3 games over 100+ receiving yards and six TDs.
- Dolphins secondary has been a huge disappointment this season and have actually allowed the 3rd most DK points to WRs.
Jaylen Waddle, $12,300
- With Devante Parker out, Waddle has become the clear #1 wide out for the Phins.
- 43 targets in the last four games is massive volume and his production has been good as well with 29 catches for 265 yards and 2 TDs.
- Good game script for Dolphins pass game.
Myles Gaskin, $9,400
- I am more interested in Gaskin’s prowess catching the ball in this game than running.
- Dolphins will likely be down and Gaskin generally sees a ton of targets (5 per game).
- Gets the ball at the goaline for the Dolphins and could also see 10-15 carries even if Miami is playing from behind.
Value:
Mike Gesicki, $7,400
- Whether it is Tua or Brissett, both keep it to short pass routes, which make Gesicki a great option.
- Over 7 targets per game this season.
- Ravens have actually been soft against the tight end position this year allowing the 4th most DK points per game.
Devonta Freeman, $6,600
- Murray still looks to be out and if that is the case Freeman will get the majority of the workload.
- In Murray’s absence Freeman has 175 total yards, 5 catches, and 2 TDs in three games.
- Likely to see 10-12 carries with the positive game script for the Ravens, and has been in at the goaline for the Ravens.
Sleepers:
Rashod Bateman, $5,800
- Has emerged the last few weeks with 12 catches on 20 targets the last three games. Had a couple really nice catches last week against MN.
- Watkins still likely out, so Bateman will remain #2.
- A great discount option at WR to pick on the Dolphins bad secondary in this game.
Justin Tucker, $4,000
- Capable of knocking down a couple of 50-yarders and producing value for his price.
- If the Ravens can move the ball (as expected), but just can’t punch it in, then Tucker could give us a 13+ point night.
Deep Sleepers:
Preston Williams, $200
- Important to make sure he is active, as he has been a healthy scratch the last two weeks.
- A punt option who could see a few targets with Parker and Fuller still out.
Possible lineups:
C- Jackson, Bateman, Freeman, Duvernay, Gesicki, Tucker
C- Jackson, Bateman, Waddle, P Williams (IF HEALTHY), Gesicki, Freeman
C- M Brown, Jackson, Bell, Ravens, Ahmed, Waddle