Zach’s Betting Picks – Week 2

Welcome back for Week 2 of my Betting Picks. We are off to a nice start after going 2-1 in Week 1. The Packers easily covered against the Vikings in a game that was not as competitive as the final score (43-34). The Packers were able to do anything they wanted against the Vikings defense. While I had a strong feeling that Green Bay would win the game, there were a few key points that really stood out that are worth noting as we move on to the rest of the season.

The first thing we should note to the naysayers is that Aaron Rodgers is far from looking like a man near the end of his career. I am not sure if drafting Jordan Love lit a fire under Rodgers or if the constant talk in the off season about his play beginning to diminish upset him, but he looked every bit the Aaron Rodgers that we’ve seen through the years. Were it not for three or four dropped balls, his day would have been even better as his passes looked crisp and on the money all afternoon and he threw plenty of deep balls that were right on the mark.

While I do not want to take anything at all away from Rodgers, I do want to point out that the Vikings were far worse than I ever could have possibly expected. With a new group on the defensive line, the Vikings generated no push up front at all. Rodgers faced no pressure all game long and with his ability to move through the pocket to extend the length of plays, the Viking cornerbacks, already a weak group, stood no chance. Yannick Ngakoue will need time to adjust to the new scheme and the loss of Danielle Hunter the first three weeks means that the Vikings are going to have issues against teams that can throw the ball.

This game went into garbage time early once the Packers went up three scores. The Vikings played hurry up offense and the Packers laid back after crushing Cousins early and the teams traded scores all afternoon. We missed the O/U pretty badly, but that can happen during these early season games when we’re still trying to figure out how well teams are going to play. Hitting the spread with no issues made this game a push overall. Moving forward, we learned that the Vikings are a team that we should be able to target for more overs this year. The offense has the playmakers to put up points, but the inexperienced secondary is also going to give up a lot of big plays. For the Packers, we learned that they might not be relying on the run as much as expected and that if they can develop Lazard or MVS into a strong 2/3 compliment to Davanate Adams, they could be a much more potent offense than a season ago.

The other win that we hit for the week was the Bills covering at home against the Jets. This game was another where the final score made it look competitive, but in reality, the Bills were in control from start to finish. It really should have been an even bigger blowout, but the Bills had some turnovers and two missed FGs that allowed the Jets to hang just close enough to keep us watching. With the loss of Le’Veon Bell to an injury, the Jets look about as bad as any team in the league coming out of Week 1. Sam Darnold looks like a bust, but it would be tough to expect much given the dearth of talent around him. After losing the heart of the defense in the offseason, I just do not see where this team wins more than a couple of couple of games this year.

The lines used were courtesy of Bovada, typically has the most customer friendly lines for NFL and PGA.  Click here to sign up and start betting now.

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